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Pre-FOMC Announcement Special Edition: The Week That Was … The Week to Come

Brian Jacobsen, Janet Rilling, and Jeff Weaver provide perspective on the U.S. economy—and key indicators we monitor to gauge the potential for a recession—as we look ahead to the FOMC announcement on June 15, 2022.

Fed Balance Sheet: You Can’t Get There From Here

On May 4, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to announce a 50-basis-point (bp; 100 bps equal 1.00%)—0.50%—increase in its target for the federal funds rate. It’s also likely to announce it will start shrinking its balance sheet. What will the balance-sheet reduction look like, and what might it mean?