Today’s global fixed income markets are highly volatile, and using a six-month outlook is one way that the Plus Fixed Income team at Allspring Global Investments navigates these changing environments. Janet Rilling, senior portfolio manager and head of the Plus Fixed Income team, shares her thoughts with Danny Sarnowski, portfolio specialist for the Plus Fixed Income team, on how the team uses this outlook and where they see things moving going forward.
When Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell took the helm of the Fed in 2018, the Fed was close to the end of its rate-hiking cycle that started in December 2015. At the time, he said the Fed would be gradual with hikes. Fast-forward to January 2022, and Chair Powell dropped “gradual” in favor of being “nimble.” Then in the spring of 2022, he said the Fed would move “expeditiously” to bring down inflation.
Brian Jacobsen, Janet Rilling, and Jeff Weaver provide perspective on the U.S. economy—and key indicators we monitor to gauge the potential for a recession—as we look ahead to the FOMC announcement on June 15, 2022.
On May 4, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to announce a 50-basis-point (bp; 100 bps equal 1.00%)—0.50%—increase in its target for the federal funds rate. It’s also likely to announce it will start shrinking its balance sheet. What will the balance-sheet reduction look like, and what might it mean?